KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Democrat · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Democrat 84.5%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Democrat 84.5%Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2544,1 €
Open Interest
2821 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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DemocratSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
10. Nov. 26, 16:00 UTC24. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Democrat
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?
KalshiWill Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). John Thune speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Democrat
- If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If John Thune says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax
- If John Thune says Tax as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Midterm
- If John Thune says Midterm as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If John Thune says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hegseth
- If John Thune says Hegseth as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Impeach / Impeachment
- If John Thune says Impeach / Impeachment as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Affordable / Affordability
- If John Thune says Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If John Thune says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If John Thune says Inflation as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Schumer
- If John Thune says Schumer as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Filibuster
- If John Thune says Filibuster as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If John Thune says Biden as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- American Dream
- If John Thune says American Dream as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.