Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 73%
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
290,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
26.0% / 31.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 0:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes27%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 73% | +56pt | 0 € | 290,2 € | vor 16 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste72% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 83% | +66pt | 39,5 € | 391,4 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Spain snap election called in 2026?
2.5 pts5Mon
+0.0pt83%
-0.0pt17%
34 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen28.741,2 €
24h-Volumen39,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Spain officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$348. Juli8T Daten23. Juli
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If Spain officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.