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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.

Entschieden: 05.06.2026, 14:49

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026 1%
Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

5539,5 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 100.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Tagen

Veraltet
4. Mai 26, 18:0016. Mai 26, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026
1%
Before May 20, 2026
Before May 20, 2026
1%
Before May 21, 2026
Before May 21, 2026
1%
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
1%
Before May 23, 2026
Before May 23, 2026
1%
Before Jun 3, 2026
Before Jun 3, 2026
1%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Regeln

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.