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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Will it rain in NYC on Jun 13, 2026?
Will it rain in NYC on Jun 13, 2026?

Will it rain in NYC on Jun 13, 2026?

Foreign ExchangeOne-Off13Std
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 20%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

1,3 €

Liquidität

1,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

8.0% / 21.0%

Spread

162.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten

12. Juni 26, 14:0014. Juni 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes20%

Regeln

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 13, 2026 or June 20, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 20, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Regeln

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 13, 2026 or June 20, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 20, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.