Will it rain in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
One-Off17Std
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 89%
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
604,4 €
Liquidität
556,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
88.0% / 89.0%
Spread
1.1%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 3:59
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Yes89%
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Regeln
If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 04, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
- If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for July 04, 2026 or July 11, 2026.
- If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on July 11, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.