Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 3 inches 96%+25.0%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
88 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
10.389,2 €
Liquidität
11.495,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.0% / 96.0%
Spread
1.1%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 16:371. Aug. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 3 inches96%
Verwandte Märkte
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KALSHI
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2588,6 €Above 1 inch: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will it rain on the 4th of July?
4791,7 €Dallas: 51%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2590,8 €2: 67%POLYMARKET
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If the total precipitation at CLIMDW in Chicago in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMDW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lot, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Chicago - Midway, IL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.