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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout

KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout

PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 100k (99%)

Entschieden: 09.06.2026, 00:57

Gewinnausgang

Above 100k

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

—

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 100k
Above 100k 99%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

49 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,2 €

Liquidität

1243,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen

Veraltet
16. Apr. 26, 14:0019. Mai 27, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Above 110k1%
Above 130k1%
0%25%50%75%100%7. Juni8. Juni8. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Above 100k
Above 100k
99%
Above 50k
Above 50k
99%
Above 60k
Above 60k
99%
Above 70k
Above 70k
99%
Above 80k
Above 80k
99%
Above 90k
Above 90k
99%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.