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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)
Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)

2.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahl11Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 850k
Above 850k 99%+2.0%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

63 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

274,1 €

Liquidität

763 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

14. Mai 26, 22:002. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Above 850k99%

Regeln

If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 550000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.

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Regeln

If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 550000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.