KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitClaire Valdez, ≥15% 99%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
135,5 €
Liquidität
12.929,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
16. Juni 26, 19:0017. Juni 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Claire Valdez, ≥15%99%
Verwandte Märkte
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467.843,9 €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
14.680,3 €Phil Weiser, 12-15%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHICO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
7920,1 €Melat Kiros, ≥15%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHINY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?
669,6 €Darializa Avila Chevalier, ≥15%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
574,2 €Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%: 46%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?
26,4 €Burt Jones, 0-3%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.