KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Alan Wilson, ≥20% (99%)
Entschieden: 29.06.2026, 20:56
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Alan Wilson, ≥20%
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
99%
KonsensAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAlan Wilson, ≥20% 99%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
188 €
Liquidität
774,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet16. Juni 26, 17:1423. Juni 27, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Alan Wilson, 4-8%1%
Alan Wilson, 8-12%1%
Alan Wilson, 16-20%1%
Pamela Evette, 0-4%1%
Alan Wilson, 12-16%1%
Alan Wilson, 0-4%1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
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If the margin of victory for Alan Wilson in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary runoff falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alan Wilson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Alan Wilson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alan Wilson wins, or the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alan Wilson does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.