KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Lupita Nyong'o 74%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
29 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 21:53 UTC31. Aug. 29, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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0%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
KalshiWill Black Panther 3 be delayed?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Marvel
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 342.752,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.191,2 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.400 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 90.788,6 €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 264.563,9 €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.327,3 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Black Panther 3: Cast?
- Kalshi bewertet Lupita Nyong'o mit 74% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Black Panther 3: Cast entschieden?
- Black Panther 3: Cast soll am 31. August 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Black Panther 3: Cast abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.