Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ed Miliband 72%+3.0%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1026,7 €
Liquidität
25.845,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
5.2%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
22. Juni 26, 17:578. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Ed Miliband72%
Plattformen vergleichen· Ed Miliband
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 52% | 0pt | 4898,4 € | 253.274,1 € | vor 15 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | 72% | +20pt | 1026,7 € | 25.845,7 € | vor 9 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
1.0%5Mon
+1.0%52%
50%
50%
+32 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen609.334,7 €
24h-Volumen4898,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chancellor of the Exchequer" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chancellor of the Exchequer in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yvette Cooper formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Shabana Mahmood formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pat McFadden formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
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If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chancellor of the Exchequer" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chancellor of the Exchequer in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yvette Cooper formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Shabana Mahmood formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pat McFadden formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.