KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Dec 1, 2026 15%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
194,8 €
Liquidität
2525,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by September 30, 2026?
ForecastExWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Offene Märkte
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 141.050,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 129.051,1 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 72.154,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 71.773,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 71.632,8 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the next Category 5 hurricane form??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Dec 1, 2026 mit 15% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? entschieden?
- When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.