KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2029 69.5%Führend unter 4 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1830,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
26. Aug. 26, 19:09 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiAustin Powers 4: Release Date
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KalshiNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketWill 007 First Light be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards? (James Bond game from IO Studios)
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 295.093,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.899,8 €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 44.301,3 €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 219.356,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für James Bond · Release Date?
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2029 mit 70% (Stand: 13. September 2026).
- Wann wird James Bond · Release Date entschieden?
- James Bond · Release Date soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird James Bond · Release Date abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.