KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 13:47 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above -8% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Above -8% 53.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Above -8% 53.5%Marktqualitat
27 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
154 €
Open Interest
0 $
Open Interest unbekanntGeld / Brief
— / —
Above -8%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
28. Okt. 26, 14:15 UTC4. Nov. 26, 11:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above -8%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Mortgage Bankers Association
- The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above -8%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -10%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -6%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -4%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -2%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
