KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 30 99%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2023,8 €
Liquidität
61.586,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 16:004. Aug. 26, 16:45
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 601%
Große Trades
$1.3k31.0%KALSHIAt least 50 — Yesvor 19 Tagen
KALSHIAt least 50 — Yesvor 19 Tagen$1.7k95.0%KALSHIAt least 40 — Yesvor 21 Tagen
KALSHIAt least 40 — Yesvor 21 TagenVolumentrend
$2.3k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 31: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
694.642,3 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
531.133,9 €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
92.050,8 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36.369,3 €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
17.634,4 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 70 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.