Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Restore Britain 1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
467 €
Liquidität
3507 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
16. Mai 26, 11:301. Jan. 28, 15:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Restore Britain1%
Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
0.1%
82.6%
12.5%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETS
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
0.1%6T
+2.0%87%
-2.0%13%
-0.1%2%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen149.243,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.