Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Labour (99%)
Entschieden: 19.06.2026, 03:28
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Labour
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
89%
KonsensAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitLabour 95.2%+10.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
144.165,9 €
Liquidität
9232,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 38 Tagen
Veraltet16. Mai 26, 11:301. Jan. 28, 15:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Labour
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Geschlossen
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETS
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen7,7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen4390,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.