Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
74° or below 47%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
20.363,7 €
Liquidität
6820,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 48.0%
Spread
6.7%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 5:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
74° or below47%
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
35.726,4 €98° to 99°: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 4, 2026?
33.834,3 €87° to 88°: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
15.170,7 €Los Angeles: 41%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
27.806,7 €31°C: 42%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
27.155 €30°C: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 5?
26.210,3 €31°C: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Central Park NY" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.