Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
87° or above 86%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
906,2 €
Liquidität
747 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.2%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 14:0014. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
87° or above86%
Plattformen vergleichen· 87° or above
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 86% | — | 906,2 € | 747 € | vor 9 Minuten | |
 ForecastEx81% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 52% | — | 0 € | 39,5 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf ForecastEx
Will the lowest temperature in Las Vegas (LAS)(KLAS) be below 89 F on July 13, 2026?
1T
52%
48%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FORECASTEXRegeln
If the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1.0k12. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 12, 2026?
1688,5 €86° or above: 90%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
596.395,5 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 12, 2026?
92.605,4 €84° to 85°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
156.046,2 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.157,3 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.861,3 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.