Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
86° or above 97%+17.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1640,8 €
Liquidität
2122 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.0% / 100.0%
Spread
5.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
11. Juli 26, 14:0013. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
86° or above97%
Plattformen vergleichen· 86° or above
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 97% | — | 1640,8 € | 2122 € | vor 9 Minuten | |
 ForecastEx81% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 93% | — | 166,6 € | 87,7 € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf ForecastEx
Will the lowest temperature in Las Vegas (LAS)(KLAS) be below 88 F on July 12, 2026?
3Std
7%
93%
32 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen166,6 €
24h-Volumen166,6 €
FORECASTEXRegeln
If the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 12, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1.9k11. Juli3T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 13, 2026?
905,2 €87° or above: 86%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
599.750,3 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 12, 2026?
92.348,4 €84° to 85°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
156.019,4 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.136,6 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.842,1 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.NewsGoogle Expands Gemini Spark to macOS, Adds New App IntegrationsBlockchain.News
NVIDIA Adds Vulkan Descriptor Heaps Support, Boosting GPU PerformanceBlockchain.News
AI chipmaker Cerebras down 11% after first public earnings reportCoindeskRegeln
If the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 12, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.