KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 09.09.2026, 09:55 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
29 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
3. Sept. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiBrazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?
FutuurVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiVenezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later.
- Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Offene Märkte
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 125,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 598.247,7 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-8.5pt82.2%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+8.4pt15.8%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
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POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt8%
- September 305%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89.580,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 34.195,2 €
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt43%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.8%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.987,1 €
KALSHINew Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Hawai'i-6.0pt71%
- New Mexico St.+5.0pt29%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22.749,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.779 €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-0.3pt85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez11.3%
- María Corina Machado+0.3pt2.1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Paraná Governor Election Winner
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- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
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- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i: Spread
- Tucuman vs River Plate
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Venezuela exit OPEC??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 0% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Venezuela exit OPEC? entschieden?
- Will Venezuela exit OPEC? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Venezuela exit OPEC? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.