KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRuben Gallego 3%-2.0ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
10 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
52,5 €
Liquidität
783,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 100.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Tagen
Veraltet14. Apr. 26, 16:001. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Ruben Gallego
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 3% | — | 52,5 € | 783,5 € | vor 25 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 0% | — | — | — | vor 19 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will leave Congress before July? (Kalshi)
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."