KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Cardi B 82.3%Führend unter 15 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
43,5 €
Liquidität
1124,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
1. Sept. 26, 15:45 UTC28. Sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
KalshiMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
KalshiMTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
KalshiWill Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?
Manifold MarketsWill Lex Friedman host a podcast from space before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome is a host at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsVogueMSNBCBBCReutersVMACNNBillboardNBCthe Associated PressCBSThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
- Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
- Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
- The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
- Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host?
- Kalshi bewertet Cardi B mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host entschieden?
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host soll am 28. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome is a host at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.