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  • Start
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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Middle East
  3. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

10.0% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 30 (99%)

Entschieden: 02.06.2026, 15:33

Gewinnausgang

Above 30

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

28%

Überraschung
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 40
Above 40 1%-10.0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

536,5 €

Liquidität

1021 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 100.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 11 Tagen

Veraltet
27. Mai 26, 13:002. Juni 26, 13:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Above 4010%
Above 501%
Above 3099%
Above 2554%
Above 1591%
Above 2072%
Above 1099%
Above 1001%
Above 751%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%1. Juni2. Juni2. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Above 40
Above 40
-10.0%
1%
Above 50
Above 50
-2.0%
1%
Above 30
Above 30
+62.0%
99%
Above 25
Above 25
+39.0%
99%
Above 15
Above 15
+2.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+10.0%
99%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

125,5 €
Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

6,5 Mio. €
December 31: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 Mio. €
July 31: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

1,2 Mio. €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]

30.667,2 €
Ja: 46%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

15.353,9 €
Ja: 20%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,166.08+1.14%EthereumETH$1,679.46+0.79%SolanaSOL$67.86+1.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882+1.44%XRPXRP$1.15+1.59%BNBBNB$608.90+0.40%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.