Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
76° to 77° 18%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4928,1 €
Liquidität
3090,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 14:0014. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
76° to 77°18%
Plattformen vergleichen· 80° to 81°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 41% | — | 4928,1 € | 3090,6 € | vor 7 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 39% | — | 5808,3 € | 34.424 € | vor 11 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 13?
0.2%5Std
-0.5%39%
+7.0%27%
23%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7314,1 €
24h-Volumen5808,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$5.6k12. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 12, 2026?
47.977,6 €74° to 75°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
610.844,7 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?
86.124,5 €74° to 75°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
155.992,1 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.115,6 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.822,5 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.