Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
105° to 106° 30%+28.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
13.470,7 €
Liquidität
10.325,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
29.0% / 34.0%
Spread
17.2%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 14:0015. Juli 26, 7:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
105° to 106°30%
Volumentrend
$15.4k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 15, 2026?
47,3 €106° to 107°: 35%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 14, 2026?
127.797 €82° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 14, 2026?
62.941,3 €89° or below: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 15?
52.279,2 €15°C: 70%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 15?
38.404,5 €28°C: 46%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Paris on July 15?
25.083,7 €32°C: 37%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 105° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Phoenix, AZ" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.