Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
96° to 97° 21%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
25.638,6 €
Liquidität
20.150,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 14:0015. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
96° to 97°21%
Plattformen vergleichen· 94° to 95°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 53% | — | 34.380,3 € | 32.366,7 € | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Hoch | 57% | — | 25.638,6 € | 20.150,9 € | vor 18 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 14?
12.0%2Std
+27.0%53%
-12.0%30%
-5.5%8%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen36.757,6 €
24h-Volumen34.380,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 90°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 90-91°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$29.2k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 14, 2026?
68.094,4 €82° or above: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 14, 2026?
26.410,3 €90° to 91°: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 14, 2026?
22.563,6 €98° to 99°: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
162.481,7 €28°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
103.562,8 €32°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 14?
78.951,5 €36°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 90°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 90-91°, then the market resolves to Yes.