Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
98° to 99° 14%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
22.182,6 €
Liquidität
15.814,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
13.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 14:0015. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
98° to 99°14%
Plattformen vergleichen· 96° to 97°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 50% | — | 10.760 € | 30.670,2 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Mittel | 56% | — | 22.182,6 € | 15.814,4 € | vor 16 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 14?
0.4%3Std
+17.5%50%
-13.5%21%
+6.0%20%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen13.641,9 €
24h-Volumen10.760 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is less than 94° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is between 94-95° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$25.3k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 14, 2026?
63.152,7 €82° or above: 8%KALSHI
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Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 14, 2026?
25.388 €90° to 91°: 4%KALSHI
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Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 14, 2026?
10.344,1 €81° to 82°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
154.296,3 €28°C: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
105.453,8 €32°C: 100%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 14?
79.006,6 €34°C: 100%POLYMARKET
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is less than 94° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is between 94-95° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.