Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
102° to 103° 20%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2917 €
Liquidität
2199,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
25. Juli 26, 14:0027. Juli 26, 6:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
102° to 103°20%
Plattformen vergleichen· 100° to 101°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 45% | — | 18.738,8 € | 37.991 € | vor 5 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 58% | — | 2917 € | 2199,4 € | vor 25 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 26?
10.0%4Std
+10.0%45%
-2.0%25%
-1.0%21%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen21.332,9 €
24h-Volumen18.738,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 100° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$3.3k25. Juli2T Daten26. Juli
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 100° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.