Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
81° to 82° 42%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
32.712,8 €
Liquidität
24.426,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
2.4%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
25. Juli 26, 14:0027. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
81° to 82°42%
Plattformen vergleichen· 83° to 84°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 55% | — | 32.712,8 € | 24.426,4 € | vor 20 Minuten | |
 Polymarket84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 50% | — | 16.354,9 € | 24.254,5 € | vor 20 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 26?
11.5%1Std
+11.5%50%
+4.0%33%
-4.5%11%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen19.703,1 €
24h-Volumen16.354,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$37.2k25. Juli2T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 26, 2026?
100.008,7 €87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 26, 2026?
21.870,7 €91° to 92°: 41%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 26, 2026?
15.370 €88° or below: 16%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26?
122.221,3 €28°C: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 26?
102.163,1 €29°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 26?
97.991 €35°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.