KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit78° to 79° 46.7%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
38.151,3 €
Liquidität
27.521,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 14:0030. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
80° to 81°36%
Plattformen vergleichen· 78° to 79°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 38% | — | 22.023,7 € | 156.027,6 € | vor 1 Minute | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Hoch | 50% | — | 38.151,3 € | 27.521,6 € | vor 15 Minuten | |
 Gemini93% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 48% | — | 435,5 € | 0 € | vor 15 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29, 2026?
20Std
44.9%
33.6%
8.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen435,5 €
24h-Volumen435,5 €
GEMINIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29?
8.4 pts4Std
+14.0pt36.2%
24.8%
+13.0pt24.8%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
80 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen28.677,1 €
24h-Volumen22.023,7 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$43.5k28. Juli2T Daten29. Juli
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.