Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
95° or below 3%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6704,7 €
Liquidität
6146,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
25. Juli 26, 14:0027. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
95° or below3%
Plattformen vergleichen· 96° to 97°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 52% | — | 10.720,2 € | 26.850,1 € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 58% | — | 6704,7 € | 6146,6 € | vor 10 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 26?
0.5%3Std
+5.0%52%
+0.5%35%
-6.5%7%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen12.205,7 €
24h-Volumen10.720,2 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.0k99.0%KALSHI95° or below — Novor 5 Std.
KALSHI95° or below — Novor 5 Std.Volumentrend
$7.6k25. Juli2T Daten26. Juli
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26?
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Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 26?
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.