KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 05.11.2026, 21:12 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jul 1, 2027 15.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before Jul 1, 2027 15.5%Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
25.003,8 €
Open Interest
23.142,7 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
2. Nov. 26, 22:30 UTC1. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jul 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?
FutuurFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet?
KalshiWill the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:official government sources of Brazilofficial social media accounts of Flávio Bolsonaro or their official representativeslocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in Brazilthe Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalCNNBBCThe GuardianPoliticoAxios
- The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.