KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Before Jul 3, 2026 (99%)
Entschieden: 01.07.2026, 14:52
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Before Jul 3, 2026
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
26%
ÜberraschungAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jul 3, 2026 99%+74.0ptFührend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
538.332,1 €
Liquidität
5679,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 100.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Tagen
Veraltet13. Juni 26, 14:001. Juli 26, 3:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Before Jul 17, 202676%
Before Jul 1, 20262%
Before Jul 3, 202699%
Before Jul 7, 202699%
Before Jul 10, 202699%
Before Jun 15, 20262%
1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Before Jul 3, 2026
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt90% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 314.573,1 € | 0 € | vor 26 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Niedrig | 99% | — | 538.332,1 € | 5679,1 € | vor 27 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets93% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 20 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
When will Anthropic's API customers get access to Fable 5 again?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Before August 1st (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose72 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by which date?
72.5 ptsGeschlossen
+72.5pt100%
+11.7pt100%
+4.8pt100%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen4,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen314.573,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$3.6k99.2%POLYMARKETYeslibratus1vor 27 Tagen
POLYMARKETYeslibratus1vor 27 Tagen$1.0k9.9%POLYMARKETNoparacelsvor 27 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoparacelsvor 27 Tagen$3.2k99.0%POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f42vor 28 Tagen
POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f42vor 28 Tagen$2.1k78.4%POLYMARKETNoHornyBibivor 28 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoHornyBibivor 28 Tagen$1.1k78.9%POLYMARKETYesGGWPGLvor 28 Tagen
POLYMARKETYesGGWPGLvor 28 TagenVerwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
64.561,2 €Anthropic: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Anthropic IPO by __?
27.139,6 €December 31,: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company end of July?
25.571,7 €Alibaba: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
18.516,2 €Qwen: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Top AI model this week
7980,4 €claude-opus-5-high: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Philadelphia vs Miami
7710,9 €Miami: 73%
GEMINI
GEMINIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.