KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3464 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
2. März 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
KalshiWill Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
KalshiRegeln
If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Patek Philippe
Offene Märkte
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 351.426,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 351.357 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183.652,9 €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? entschieden?
- Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.