KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Sanction (99%)
Begrenzte Auflösungsnachweise
CoinRithm kann das aufgezeichnete Ergebnis zeigen, aber nicht jedes Auflösungsfeld ist vom Anbieter verifiziert.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 24.08.2026, 17:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Sanction 99%Führend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
39.749,8 €
Liquidität
37.748,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet24. Aug. 26, 12:158. Sept. 26, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Sanction94%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
Nuclear35%
Event does not qualify0%
Blockade1%
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency1%
Iran / Iranian (5+ times)80%
China / Chinese1%
Hormuz1%
Inflation1%
Tariff1%
Economic D-Day / Economic Fury1%
Trump (3+ times)80%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline78%
Russia / Russian1%
Stock Market1%
GDP1%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax1%
Israel / Israeli1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Ceasefire1%
America First1%
Drone1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regeln
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Scott Bessent speaking in an official capacity.
