KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ariana Grande 99%Führend unter 92 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
564,1 €
Liquidität
164.371,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Drake release a new album by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Miley Cyrus release a new album?
KalshiWill Lana Del Rey release a new album by which date?
PolymarketWill MrBeast release an album this year?
KalshiWhen will Beyonce release new album?
KalshiWill Kanye release a new album in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Spotify
- A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
- It may take the form of an LP or EP.
- Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
- Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193.312 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 92.239,3 €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 101.635,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 65.906,6 €
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.0pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 274.624,3 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.9%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.8%
- Dee Valladares+9.0pt13.9%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.5pt73.3%
- Yes+8.5pt26.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 345.450,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.890,3 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will release a new album in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Ariana Grande mit 99% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will release a new album in 2026? entschieden?
- Who will release a new album in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will release a new album in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Who will release a new album in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.