Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Conservative (99%)
Entschieden: 19.06.2026, 03:30
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitConservative 93.4%+81.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2718,4 €
Liquidität
67,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 38 Tagen
Veraltet26. Mai 26, 21:0018. Juni 27, 14:00
Trends
93.4%
0.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Conservative
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Aberdeen South By-Election - Winner
Geschlossen
20.4%
0.2%
7 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETS
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner
85.5 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Douglas Lumsden (100%)
+85.5pt100%
-0.3pt0%
-85.0pt0%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen27.611,4 €
24h-Volumen6395,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.