KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 5.14% or below (99%)
Entschieden: 01.10.2026, 22:03
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 27.10.2026, 01:07 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
5.14% or below76%
5.13% or below99%
5.12% or below99%
5.11% or below86%
5.1% or below48%
5.09% or below40%
5.08% or below99%
5.07% or below99%
5.06% or below80%
5.05% or below99%
5.04% or below99%
5.03% or below99%
5.02% or below99%
5.01% or below88%
5% or below0%
4.99% or below0%
4.98% or below84%
4.97% or below76%
4.96% or below41%
4.95% or below36%
4.94% or below34%
4.93% or below30%
4.92% or below28%
4.91% or below99%
4.9% or below97%
4.89% or below88%
4.88% or below59%
4.87% or below98%
4.86% or below9%
4.85% or below13%
4.84% or below15%
4.83% or below0%
4.82% or below0%
4.81% or below0%
4.8% or below0%
4.79% or below0%
4.78% or below0%
4.77% or below0%
4.76% or below7%
4.75% or below7%
5.14% or belowGewonnen
5.13% or belowVerloren
5.12% or belowVerloren
5.08% or belowVerloren
5.07% or belowVerloren
5.05% or belowVerloren
5.04% or belowVerloren
5.03% or belowVerloren
5.02% or belowVerloren
4.91% or belowVerloren
4.87% or belowVerloren
4.9% or belowVerloren
5.01% or belowVerloren
4.89% or belowVerloren
5.11% or belowVerloren
4.98% or belowVerloren
5.06% or belowVerloren
4.97% or belowVerloren
4.88% or belowVerloren
5.1% or belowVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
PolymarketMakro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If the daily published par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.15% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 7-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period.