KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 5.63% or below (99%)
Entschieden: 06.10.2026, 02:49
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 24.10.2026, 14:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
5.55% or below86%
5.54% or below70%
5.51% or below34%
5.57% or below77%
5.48% or below54%
5.34% or below91%
5.39% or below81%
5.58% or below84%
5.41% or below56%
5.38% or below88%
5.37% or below90%
5.36% or below60%
5.35% or below90%
5.42% or below87%
5.4% or below65%
5.33% or below99%
5.32% or below99%
5.31% or below99%
5.3% or below99%
5.29% or below99%
5.28% or below0%
5.27% or below0%
5.26% or below21%
5.25% or below0%
5.24% or below23%
5.63% or belowGewonnen
5.62% or belowVerloren
5.61% or belowVerloren
5.59% or belowVerloren
5.58% or belowVerloren
5.56% or belowVerloren
5.54% or belowVerloren
5.53% or belowVerloren
5.52% or belowVerloren
5.51% or belowVerloren
5.49% or belowVerloren
5.46% or belowVerloren
5.44% or belowVerloren
5.33% or belowVerloren
5.32% or belowVerloren
5.31% or belowVerloren
5.3% or belowVerloren
5.29% or belowVerloren
5.5% or belowVerloren
5.48% or belowVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Regeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.64% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.