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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 9%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

8 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

7.0% / 18.0%

Spread

157.1%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

5. März 26, 15:0031. Dez. 26, 21:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes9%

Regeln

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,684.84+1.64%EthereumETH$1,654.75+1.10%SolanaSOL$65.04+0.83%

Verwandte Märkte

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

11,4 €
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

3,8 €
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

1,7 €
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Ja: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.