GeminiKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
JD Vance 18.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 28 Minuten
19. Feb. 26, 18:2810. Nov. 28, 0:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
JD Vance19%
Plattformen vergleichen· JD Vance
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 20% | 0pt | 395.696,6 € | 43,5 Mio. € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Kalshi80% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Hoch | 18% | -2pt | 165.914,6 € | 34,7 Mio. € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| GeminiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 19% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 28 Minuten | |
 Futuur85% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 28% | +8pt | 0 € | 16.081,2 € | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Myriad83% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 43% | +23pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless91% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 20% | +0pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Smarkets85% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 17% | -3pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2J
20.2%
12.5%
11.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
22 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen14.681,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2J
-0.1pt21.1%
-0.4pt12.6%
12.6%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen590,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen395.696,6 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2J
17.5%
16.5%
-0.1pt15.2%
+42 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose1.008 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
16.9%
10.9%
10.4%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
22 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen284.785 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3Mon
28%
28%
26%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
42 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURAuch verfügbar auf Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
2.5 pts2J
+0.0pt42.6%
-0.0pt19%
-0.0pt10.6%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
30 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
MYRIADAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.1 pts3J
+1.0pt17.1%
16.2%
11.4%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen48,3 Mio. €
24h-Volumen165.914,6 €
KALSHIRegeln
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.3k83.0%KALSHIMarco Rubio — Novor 3 Tagen
KALSHIMarco Rubio — Novor 3 Tagen$1.7k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — Novor 4 Tagen
KALSHITucker Carlson — Novor 4 Tagen$3.3k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — Novor 4 Tagen
KALSHITucker Carlson — Novor 4 Tagen$1.4k13.9%POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbitvor 4 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbitvor 4 Tagen$3.7k19.9%POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgatesvor 4 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgatesvor 4 Tagen$1.8k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisketvor 5 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisketvor 5 Tagen$1.1k97.3%KALSHIAndy Beshear — Novor 6 Tagen
KALSHIAndy Beshear — Novor 6 Tagen$2.5k97.5%KALSHIAndy Beshear — Novor 6 Tagen
KALSHIAndy Beshear — Novor 6 TagenVerwandte Märkte
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.