GeminiEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitFed maintains rate 75.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2863,6 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
79.0% / 84.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
22. Juni 26, 16:4929. Juli 26, 18:05
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Fed maintains rate82%
Plattformen vergleichen· Fed maintains rate
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt93% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 80% | -1pt | 2,7 Mio. € | 5,8 Mio. € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Kalshi93% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Hoch | 81% | 0pt | 799.998,1 € | 24,8 Mio. € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| GeminiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 82% | +1pt | 2863,6 € | 0 € | vor 16 Minuten | |
 Limitless95% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 80% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Limitless
Fed Decision in July?
2T
78.9%
19.2%
0.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
29 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen6257 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Fed Decision in July?
1.1 pts1T
+1.1pt79.2%
-0.3pt19.8%
1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen84,6 Mio. €
24h-Volumen2,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
3.0 pts2T
+3.0pt77.9%
-2.0pt19.2%
1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen33,3 Mio. €
24h-Volumen799.998,1 €
KALSHIRegeln
Fed decision in July?
- If the Federal Reserve maintains rates at their current level on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$18.8k79.6%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — YesAdmirable-Engagementvor 47 m
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — YesAdmirable-Engagementvor 47 m$5.9k20.0%KALSHIHike 25bps — Yesvor 51 m
KALSHIHike 25bps — Yesvor 51 m$2.0k20.0%KALSHIHike 25bps — Yesvor 51 m
KALSHIHike 25bps — Yesvor 51 m$1.2k80.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — Yesplayerzvor 1 Std.
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — Yesplayerzvor 1 Std.$1.8k80.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — Yes0x1b62…4527vor 1 Std.
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — Yes0x1b62…4527vor 1 Std.$1.2k81.0%KALSHIFed maintains rate — Yesvor 5 Std.
KALSHIFed maintains rate — Yesvor 5 Std.$10.1k81.0%KALSHIFed maintains rate — Yesvor 5 Std.
KALSHIFed maintains rate — Yesvor 5 Std.$1.7k21.0%KALSHIHike 25bps — Yesvor 5 Std.
KALSHIHike 25bps — Yesvor 5 Std.Verwandte Märkte
South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?
0 €Increase: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
8881,1 €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Canada Decision in September?
1603,3 €No Change: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
219,3 €Ja: 6.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
84,8 €Ja: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
43,9 €2023: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Fed decision in July?
- If the Federal Reserve maintains rates at their current level on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.