FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
4 or 5 43.4%Führend unter 4 Optionen
4 or 5 43.4%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1582,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
21
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Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the Anti-CBDC Act be signed into law in 2026?
FutuurWill any central bank buy a cryptocurrency (CBDC doesn't count) for their reserves by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK have a central bank digital currency by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsCentral Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
KalshiRegeln
This event predicts the total number of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) that will have been officially launched worldwide by December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the Atlantic Council’s CBDC Tracker, which classifies national digital currencies by development stage.
- The relevant count is the number of countries whose CBDCs are labeled as “Launched” on the tracker at the end of the year.
- If the Atlantic Council CBDC Tracker is unavailable, inaccessible, or unclear at the time of resolution, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from another widely recognized and credible international source tracking CBDC launches.
- These markets will be resolved according to the substantive outcome—the number of countries with officially launched CBDCs—rather than minor differences in terminology or presentation.
- If no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.
