PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
1 Eyl 2026 21:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31 99%+5.4pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
41 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺1,4 Mn
Likidite
₺2,2 Mn
Yüksek likiditeYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-7.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli29 Tem 26 23:311 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
0%
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.