PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 96%+0.2pt
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺8 B
Likidite
₺4,5 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
2.0% / 6.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eyl 26 16:02 UTC13 Eyl 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Hurricane Lowell category?
KalshiWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a named tropical cyclone make landfall in Delaware, Maryland, or Virginia between June 1 and November 30?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hurricane Lowell makes landfall in Hawaii at Category 1 strength or higher, as reported in official Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) or National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cphc/), between market creation and September 12, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A landfall counts toward this determination only if it occurs within this window; the time of the physical landfall governs, not the time any confirming advisory is issued.
- A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- Lowell must hold hurricane strength (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale) at the moment its surface center intersects the coastline for that landfall to qualify.
- If Lowell is classified as a tropical storm, a tropical depression, or a post-tropical cyclone at the moment its surface center intersects the coastline, this market will resolve to "No".