PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 57%+22.5pt
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺7,3 B
Likidite
₺68 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadComments
0
7g Değişim
-27.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
23 dakika önce guncellendi
20 Tem 26 19:541 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
- If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Açık piyasalar
Macro & Economy
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺137 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺996,7 B
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike+1.0pt72.3%
- No Change+4.0pt27.7%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺525,2 B
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,200 or below+3.0pt23%
- 6,300 or below+1.6pt19%
- 6,100 or below-1.1pt14%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-1.7pt65%
- 8,200 or above-6.3pt35%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,3 Mn
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Neutral+38.0pt60.5%
- Greed-39.0pt30.3%
- Fear-4.0pt7.3%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity74%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,2 Mn
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- US electricity price in August
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 21 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla No için 57% fiyatlıyor.
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").