PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkEvet 28%+0.0%
Piyasa kalitesi
89 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺12,3 Mn
Likidite
₺6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Orta spread7g Değişim
-17.5%
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce guncellendi
13 Haz 26 21:4915 Tem 26 0:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes28%
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
23g
19.2%
80.8%
Topluluk tahmini54 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim₺804,3 B
24s Hacim₺1,4 Mn
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
İlgili Piyasalar
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
₺98,1 MnEvet: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia
₺74,5 MnSpain: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSpain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets
₺70,2 MnO/U 0.5: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Spain vs Saudi Arabia
₺2,5 MnSaudi Arabia: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]
₺1,7 MnEvet: 6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
₺1,2 MnBrazil: 6.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
US ends Iran blockade; Polymarket sees Hormuz normal by July at 46%Blockchain.News
Trump Iran MOU keeps enrichment status quo as Polymarket Yes slips to 19.5%Blockchain.News
Trump–Pezeshkian MOU signed, Polymarket cuts Iran enrichment-end odds to 61.5%Blockchain.News
Trump–Iran deal targets Hormuz reopening as Polymarket normal-traffic odds slipBlockchain.NewsTrump–Pezeshkian peace memo puts Iran enrichment end at 74.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.