Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 puan (24s)
PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (100%)
Sonuçlandı: 2 Haz 2026 18:21
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
No
7 gün kala
98%
24 saat kala
—
Güncel ima edilen olasılıkHayır 100%
Piyasa kalitesi
32 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺7,3 Mn
Likidite
₺0
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
- / 0.1%
7g Değişim
-2.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
54 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis31 Mar 26 21:4531 May 26 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· No
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 100% | — | ₺7,3 Mn | ₺0 | 54 gün önce | |
 Manifold Markets%77 eşleşme · oto | — | 100% | — | — | — | 57 gün önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
Hayır (99.7%)
99.7%
0.3%
Topluluk tahmini318 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.