Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
Latin AmerikaOne-OffHava DurumuSonuç bekleniyor
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Idaho 96%40 seçenek arasında lider
Idaho 96%Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺82,8 B
Likidite
₺25,2 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
49.9 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eki 26 13:00 UTC8 Eki 26 13:00 UTC
Trendler
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Kaynak: Polymarket
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- Minimum emir (pay):
- 5
- Fiyat adımı:
- 0,1 yüzde puan
- İşlem ücreti:
- Evet
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KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 25% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.